HIS HOLINESS THE DALAI LAMA’S SUCCESSION AND ITS IMPLICATIONS ON SINO-INDIAN TIES

This report explores the complex political and legal questions surrounding the succession of the 14th Dalai Lama and its wider impact on Sino-Indian relations. As the Dalai Lama nears 90, the issue of who will succeed him has become a geopolitical flashpoint. China insists on state control over the process, while the Tibetan community and its global supporters argue for a religiously autonomous selection. The paper examines India’s dual role—offering refuge to Tibetan exiles while adhering to the One China policy—and the potential diplomatic consequences of rival Dalai Lama claimants. It also evaluates the relevance of international law, including religious freedom and statelessness, in this succession debate. Authored by Amritha Ravindra Palissery and Purna Sai Vaishnavi Ravi under the Centre for International Law, International Relations, and Diplomacy (CILIRD), the report offers timely insights into the future of Tibetan identity and Himalayan geopolitics.